What the opposition is reckoning on?

By Ilya BLOGGER

Is there any kind of opposition in Kazakhstan? Of course it is. In usual way an opposition, according to cannon of genre, should struggle for power. For that reason it needs wide support from masses in every possible way. However, from year to year this support is not being given. But the opposition itself and, what’s even more important, on personal level, is virtually the same. And, what’s not leaveing the scenes in it, as in the whole country, social elevator is not moving properly good. Recently, because of the “Chinese-land” topic, because of throwing in “wiretaps” and other leaks, organized by new abroad centers of the opposition (Kazhegeldin is appearing to be archaic on their background) the Kazakhstani oppositional thrash has been revived. Among loud statements, rallies behind Sary-Arka cinema, usual in any kind and frustrated hunger strikes it is quite logical (and yet again!) the rhetorical question is aroused: what they are reckoning on?

It has been said not once nor twice, and concrete examples were made, that the oppositional parties in Kazakhstan are extremely unpopular among its citizens. The results of parliament elections have shown that the oppositional parties could not only gain large support, but even can’t mobilize its own members. They couldn’t even consolidate, despite multiple attempts to establish united opposition. Alas, there are too many leaders for small opposition, and every one of them wants to have own portion of fame and laurels. Also it can be said that the oppositionists are the people who lost all possible chances to win.

What are the reasons of their faults?

Firstly, there is no one among them, which authority would be indisputable for most part of Kazakhs. One can sort all of the leaders and see that no one could handle. Serikbolsyn Abdildyn, the leader of the communists, couldn’t become a leader in the country, in which the communists were tormented half of the nation some time ago. Comrade Abdildyn is a wonderful person, but his ideology works agains him. Popularity of Mukhtar Shakhanov was earlier more connected to ethnical-cultural sphere: he is famous Kazakh-language poet. In terms of politics his presidency in notorious Comission on 1986 events could be his asset. Nowadays he become largely famous as national patriotic leader. But namely this way can turn out to be huge political fiasco for him, considering ambiguousness of his behavior and statements, which he was demonstrating in the period of “Witch hunt”, suffered by Kazakhstani society after notorious December 1986. If to recall this memory in public opinion, then even his activity among abovementioned Comission would appear in different light. Zharmakhan Tuyakbay is also doesn’t provoking sympathies both by his prosecutor’s past and present appearance of oppositional Agashka. Bulat Abilov is hardly perceived seriously by anybody and image of Butya and his grand commercial failure has been confirmed with him. The other personalities, such as Vladimir Kozlov, recently loud Ermek Narymbetov and many others are also no good for role of national authoritative, an expressionist of thoughts and wishes of Kazakhstani people – scales of personalities are not proper.

What is pleasant, that more and more oppositionists are starting to realize that and moving into filed, in which they can be more useful than in oppositional thrash. For instance, Oraz Dzhandosov has gone from the politics; some say that he is engaged in scientific researches. Asylbek Kozhakhmetov has returned to educational business.

Thus, the place of national authority, ruler of Kazakh’s thoughts, is yet free. And without such person comparable by scales with personality of Makhatma Ghandi, the opposition couldn’t win.

Secondly, as Lenin said, “they are tremendously far from the people“. The opposition is standing for the people only by words. The business is that they not paying any kind of particular attention to the needs of masses, even if those needs are popping up sharply close to their offices in Almaty. Regional problems are dreaming about their attention. There tens of examples, in which the opposition stayed deaf to the needs of the nation. There are numerous sharp social problems over Kazakhstani lands, which are exist in every region and every city without unexceptionally. But the opposition isn’t coming to the needs of the people.

The people are feeling it with intuition; feeling that oppositional speeches are not about them. And for that reason they not give sympathies and support. It is better to support no one than to support inveterate blabbers. The gathering of oppositional functionaries, which are unchanging for many years, by itself can’t come to the people – too deep is an abyss between them and the people. Only and authority of national scale can bring the opposition to the people, but there is no such person among the opposition.

Thirds, widely recognized runaways – Rakhat Aliev and Mukhtar Ablyazov – are saying that they are too allegedly the opposition to the regime. This point of view is widely duplicated in press. However, Kazakhstani opposition is not refusing to have something common with it, and not splitting even with the same Rakhat Aliev. But they, by the reason of keeping its own political reputation, should be in first row of blamers of Aliev. But there is no such thing! From this eloquent fact it is allowed to make a conclusion, that Kazakhstani opposition has nothing against such partnership and allies. We wouldn’t say that they have the connection with Aliev (now Shoraz apparently) or Ablyazov – it is hard to be proved. It is enough that they not refusing and not protesting against its mixing up with them.

And now who, being in compos mentis, would support a movement, which has no authoritative leader, deaf to needs and wishes of the nation, and also not refusing Mukhtar Ablyazov and the rest of runaway oligarchs? There aren’t many fowlers appearing, which is shown in the results of elections in the parliament and meetings.

Then what Kazakstani opposition is reckoning on? In light of said things only one answer could be given – they are praying on miracle. There is nothing more that it can reckon on.